Borrowed Time: A New Archetype of Silent Fragility and an Interactive Policy Tool for Climate Adaptation
Monday, July 20, 2026, 11:00 AM
Session: SOC Poster Session (Overflow) (In-person)
Monitoring and evaluation frameworks for climate adaptation are built on linear Theory of Change logic, yet the social-ecological systems they assess are governed by feedback, accumulation, and delay. Programs generating positive early indicators simultaneously erode the adaptive capacity determining long-run welfare, a process invisible to standard monitoring until collapse is already underway. Existing frameworks cannot see the structural processes they most need to track.
Presenters:
Ambar .,
Navarun Varma,
Erica Udas
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